Trump’s tariffs on Mexico, Canada are now in effect. These foods will likely cost more

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President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on imported goods from Canada and Mexico will officially go into effect on Tuesday.

Tariffs, a tax on goods exchanged between countries, are paid by the importer in the U.S., who then tends to pass on all or some of the cost to consumers, said Timothy Richards, the Morrison chair of agribusiness at Arizona State University.

The tariffs were announced in January and then paused in February. Now that they are starting on Tuesday, Arizona shoppers can expect to see price increases at grocery stores as a result.

Here are the products most likely to cost more because of the tariffs, plus how beer will be impacted and what the U.S. imports from Canada and Mexico.

How will Trump’s tariffs affect Arizona grocery prices?

It is uncertain how much of the increased cost importers will pass on to consumers across all the different impacted industries. But Richards anticipated the price of produce will increase close to the full 25%.

Mexico, specifically, is an important agricultural trading partner. Of all vegetables imported into the U.S. in 2023, 63% came from Mexico. Close to $200 million of vegetables, fruits and nuts from Mexico went through Arizona ports in fiscal year 2024, a data analysis by The Arizona Republic found. 

More: Grocery costs are rising in Arizona. Here’s how much people are spending at grocery stores

These foods are going to cost more because of tariffs

These are some popular food items likely to see price increases: 

• Avocados: Most of the avocadoes eaten in the U.S. are imported from Mexico.
• Tomatoes: Tomatoes are another important Mexican export to the U.S.
• Bell peppers
• Raspberries
• Strawberries
• Cucumbers
• Squash
• Bananas 
• Pineapple 
• Snacks made in Mexico, China or Canada
• Cooking oil
• Nuts
• Tea

Will beer prices go up because of tariffs?

Modelo Especial overtook Bud Light as the United State’s best-selling beer in 2023. Modelo beers are exclusively brewed in Mexico, according to the website of Constellation Brands, the company that imports and markets the beer in the U.S.

Constellation Brands also imports Corona beers. Shares of the company fell to their lowest level in four years the morning after Trump’s Feb. 1 announcement of the tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China.

More: Where is your favorite beer made? What Donald Trump’s tariffs would mean for Mexican beers

What do we import from Canada?

The following common imports from Canada to the U.S., according to the Bureau of Industry and Security and Trading Economics, could be affected by Trump’s tariffs:

• Wood
• Charcoal
• Aluminum
• Iron and steel appliances
• Cereal, flour, starch and milk products
• Rubbers
• Alcoholic beverages
• Carpets and other textile floor coverings
• Wool, animal hair, horsehair yarn and fabric
• Umbrellas, walking-sticks, seat-sticks, whips
• Cotton
• Photographic or cinematographic goods
• Cork products
• Printed books

What do we import from Mexico?

Items the U.S. imports from Mexico, according to Trading Economics and the OEC, that could be affected by Trump’s tariff plan include:

• Cereals
• Paper products
• Processed fruits and nuts
• Tropical fruits
• Tomatoes, onions, lettuce and cabbage
• Pickled foods
• Fruit juice
• Fertilizers
• Dairy products, eggs and honey
• Cotton
• Beer and hard liquor
• Coffee, tea, mate and spices
• Meat, fish and seafood
• Sauces and seasonings
• Baked goods
• Avocados
• Raw sugar